Thinking about the Unthinkable in a Highly Proliferated World by Murdock Clark;Karako Thomas;Williams Ian;Dyer Michael; & Thomas Karako
Author:Murdock, Clark;Karako, Thomas;Williams, Ian;Dyer, Michael; & Thomas Karako
Language: eng
Format: epub
ISBN: 4644712
Publisher: Center for Strategic & International Studies
Nuclear weapons did not always overcome conventional inferiority. By using its superiority in the conventional realm, China was able to quickly reestablish control of the situation, and deter further nuclear employment by North Korea. China was able to âescalate to de-escalateâ the crisis and punish North Korea because it enjoyed escalation dominance over North Korea.
Ambiguity and miscommunication were rife in the exercises. When the United States offered nuclear guarantees to Turkey, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates, the United States thought it was being sufficiently ambiguous in its wording to provide it with wiggle room. Turkey interpreted the U.S. statements as a firm nuclear guarantee while the UAE and Qatar (played by the control team) believed the United States was being too ambiguous and sought firm written agreements. Steps to counter cross-state and cross-cultural misunderstandings may become increasingly important, such as with more explicit declaratory policy.
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